Nata Anarbaeva Marketing Studio

Guide + interactive diagnostic

How to run a sale without losing money on discounts

Black Friday, New Year, your brand anniversary or a seasonal promotion: how to earn more, without devaluing your product or losing customer trust for future sales
At the end of the guide – an interactive diagnostic of your sale Answer 8 questions to see exactly where you may be losing money and what to fix first
7 checkpoints to review before launching your promotion
Research what discounts do to trust, perceived value and buying decisions
Diagnostic where your sale may be leaking money

A sale is not just “slap on 50% off”

A good sale has two jobs at once: make more money now without destroying the perceived value of your product.

If customers come away thinking your regular price was inflated and that they should always wait for a discount, you may gain short-term sales but make future sales harder.

A strong sale should give customers a clear benefit while preserving trust in the brand, the product and its regular price.

A bad sale teaches customers to wait for the next discount. A good one increases the desire to buy now without destroying the product’s value tomorrow.

Customers have learned to question discounts

Today it is not enough to write “70% off” in red and place a countdown timer next to it. Customers compare prices, remember previous promotions and check whether the price was artificially raised before the sale.

As a result, a deep discount creates not only a desire to save money, but also another question: is this genuinely a good deal or just a marketing trick?

13% of Russians in 2025 believed Black Friday price cuts were genuine
67% saw Black Friday promotions more as a way to mislead customers
54% of shoppers in BCG’s 2026 international study trusted advertised discounts at least to some degree
Sources. SuperJob, October 2025: survey of economically active Russians aged 18+. BCG Black Friday Consumer Study 2026: more than 10,000 shoppers across 10 countries.

At the same time, the demand for good deals has not disappeared. According to DHL’s 2025 global study, a significant share of consumers shop during Black Friday and Cyber Monday, and discounts and savings remain among the main motivators.

So the problem with modern sales is not that people no longer want discounts. The problem is that they want savings they can trust.

What if you just give a very big discount?

It seems intuitive that the lower the price, the more people will want to buy. Research shows that this logic does not always hold.

In a study of nearly 20,000 Groupon deals, researchers found that increasing an already deep discount could reduce sales in some categories. One possible reason is that an unusually low price can increase doubts about quality.

This is especially important in categories where customers cannot fully evaluate the result in advance: services, beauty and cosmetic treatments, education, complex products, electronics and premium goods.

When the price starts to look suspiciously low, some customers stop thinking only “what a bargain” and start asking “why is this suddenly so cheap?”
SERVICES

If a cosmetic treatment normally costs ₽15,000, offering it for ₽2,990 may create more than excitement. Some customers may question the quality of the materials, the specialist’s qualifications or the real cost of the service.

PRODUCT BUSINESS

If a handbag brand sells a model for ₽18,000 for months and then suddenly drops the price to ₽4,500, loyal customers may reconsider what the product is actually worth.

EDUCATIONAL PRODUCT

If a program is listed at ₽80,000 all year but is sold for ₽19,900 every couple of months, the audience gradually starts treating ₽19,900 as the real price and simply waits for the next promotion.

Research. Information Systems Research, 2018 – analysis of 19,978 Groupon deals. Journal of Retailing, 2022 – research on how discount depth affects perceived quality.

1. Not every product belongs in a sale

One of the biggest mistakes happens before the discount is even discussed: businesses choose what to put on sale based on company priorities rather than the customer’s current need.

Often, the promotion is built around whatever has been selling poorly, sitting in stock, is easiest to launch technically or needs to be monetized quickly.

Customers think differently. They do not care about your inventory situation. They care about the specific problem your offer will solve for them.

Business logic “We have 400 units left, so let’s put them at 40% off.”
Customer logic “Why do I need this product right now, and what problem does it solve for me?”

Product business example

A beauty brand does not have to discount its entire catalog. It can bundle several products into a ready-made solution, such as a winter skin-repair set or a New Year gift set.

The customer gets a clear reason to choose the offer, while the business is not just selling “three jars for less” but a solution to a specific situation.

Service business example

A beauty studio does not have to slash the price of its core service. Instead, it can create a package with a consultation, the main service and an add-on treatment, so the offer feels special without making the regular price look inflated.

2. A discount does not replace an offer

One of the most useful pre-sale tests is simple: if you remove the discount from the page, is there still a clear reason to buy the product?

Product business “40% off chairs until Sunday.”
Product business “Home office bundle: chair, footrest and delivery on special terms until Sunday.”
Services “50% off a consultation.”
Services “If you plan to open a second location in 2027, we’ll use the consultation to review your financial model and three possible growth scenarios.”
Education “Course at half price.”
Education “If you already get inquiries but too few turn into payments, this program will help you rebuild the customer journey and sales funnels.”

A strong offer explains what problem the customer will solve, why the format is right for them, why they should choose this brand and what makes buying now especially worthwhile.

If the only strong argument is “it will cost more later,” that is not a strong offer yet. It is just a deadline.

3. Calculate the economics before choosing the discount

A sale can produce record revenue and still leave the business with less money than a normal month if the discount eats into margin while additional costs rise with order volume.

During a promotion, costs can rise at the same time across advertising, payment fees, packaging, delivery, sales staff, bonuses, customer support and service fulfillment.

Example: product business

Product price – ₽5,000
Cost of goods – ₽2,100
Fees and logistics – ₽700
Gross margin before advertising – ₽2,200

If you cut the price by 30%, the product will cost ₽3,500. After cost of goods and logistics, only ₽700 remains, so you need to sell significantly more units to preserve the same absolute profit.

Example: service

A service has no physical product cost, but that does not mean delivery is free. In a service business, the real cost includes specialist time, labor, consumables, fees and other variable expenses.

Service price – ₽8,000
Specialist labor – ₽2,000
Consumables – ₽1,200
Fees and other service-delivery costs – ₽500
Amount left before the discount – ₽4,300

If you cut the price by 40%, the customer pays ₽4,800. But labor, materials and other costs do not get cheaper. After paying them, the business has only ₽1,100 left.

And if the promotion brings twice as many customers, you will also need roughly twice as much labor time, consumables and operational capacity. That is why service businesses should calculate not only bookings and revenue, but how much money actually remains after all sold services are delivered.

The same logic applies to consulting, photography, repairs, tutor-supported education, medical services and other businesses where specialist time and variable costs are involved.

So do not calculate only the number of payments. Calculate how much money will remain after you deliver everything you promised.

4. Different customers need different things

One person may have followed your product for six months, another discovered your brand yesterday, a third has already bought from you and is ready for the next level, while a fourth does not yet understand why they need your category at all.

If everyone sees the same message and the same product, part of your audience has to figure out for themselves why the offer is relevant to them.

Product business

CLOTHING STORE

A new customer can be offered a ready-made essentials set.

A returning customer – early access, a gift or a special bundle.

A high-value customer – a multi-item bundle with an extra benefit.

Services

BEAUTY STUDIO

A new client may be offered a consultation or introductory visit.

An existing client – a multi-visit package.

A loyal client – a gift certificate or an upgraded service.

The goal is not to create fifteen pricing tiers. It is to understand the main customer situations and match each one with a clear solution.

5. Create a reason to want it before creating urgency

A weak nurture sequence is built almost entirely around the deadline: “Black Friday is coming,” “three days left,” “we launch tomorrow,” “last five hours.”

A deadline answers only one question: “why now?” Before that, the customer needs to understand why anything should change, why the problem matters and why your solution is the right fit.

Strong pre-sale content first makes the customer’s problem relevant, shows the cost of doing nothing, demonstrates the approach and provides proof. Only then does it increase desire with a special offer and a time limit.

A deadline amplifies desire that already exists, but it cannot create that desire from scratch.

6. You can lose the sale after the customer already wants to buy

Even if the marketing worked and the customer is interested, the money is not in the business yet. There are still several steps between interest and payment, and people can drop off at each one.

Saw it→ Got interested→ Chose→ Understood→ Paid

A customer may not understand the difference between packages, fail to find an answer to an objection, run into an inconvenient checkout, not see a suitable delivery option, or simply decide to come back later and forget.

For product businesses, check size availability, delivery timing and cost, returns and stock. For services, plan booking, available slots, deposits, rescheduling and gift-certificate rules in advance.

Useful check Go through the entire customer journey on your phone, from the first ad message to successful payment. Do it not as the business owner who already knows where to click, but as a new customer seeing the offer for the first time.

7. Think about what happens after the sale

Businesses often judge a promotion by a few days of revenue, but it is just as important to understand how it will affect customer behavior after the regular price returns.

If customers see deep discounts too often, they quickly learn to postpone purchases until the next promotion. The special offer stops speeding up decisions and starts teaching people to wait.

Unwanted effect “Why buy now if there will be another discount in a few weeks?”
Desired effect “That was a rare opportunity, and the regular price still makes sense.”

Consumer-behavior research increasingly points to promotion fatigue. When special offers become the default way of selling, the sale itself stops feeling like an event.

If the special price is always available, it stops being special.

How to preserve trust after the sale

Customers need to understand not only how much they save, but why that special benefit exists.

1. Give the promotion a clear reason.
It could be Black Friday, New Year, a brand anniversary, a new collection launch, the end of a season or limited inventory.
2. Use a real base price.
Do not artificially raise the price right before the promotion just to display a more impressive discount.
3. You do not have to discount everything.
Packages, bundles, extra volume, gifts, free delivery, upgraded versions or bonuses can create an attractive offer without sharply devaluing the product.
4. The limit must actually end.
If you say the offer ends on Sunday, those terms should no longer be available on Monday.
5. After the promotion, sell the value again.
Return to the product outcome, proof, quality, service and reasons to choose you instead of explaining value through discounts forever.

The formula for a strong sale

A weak setup looks like this:

Product × Big discount × Countdown timer

A stronger setup combines several elements:

Customer need × Strong solution × Offer × Trust × Path to purchase × Real benefit × Reason to act now

That is why a sale is a good stress test for your marketing as a whole. If the product, audience understanding, offer, content or customer journey is weak, a discount may temporarily hide the problem but it will not solve it.

Is your sale ready?

Answer eight questions based on what you actually have right now. At the end, you will see your main risk areas and what you should strengthen first.

0 of 8
1. I know which product or package I want to sell and what current customer problem it solves.
2. I understand the customer’s specific situation and can explain why they may want to buy my product right now.
3. Even without the discount, my offer clearly explains why the customer needs the product and why they should choose us.
4. I understand the promotion economics and know how much money will remain after discounts, advertising, fees and fulfillment.
5. Before sales open, I have content that creates a desire to buy instead of just announcing the discount.
6. I can go through the entire customer journey from the first message to payment without encountering an unclear next step.
7. The offer has a real reason to act now, and the stated terms truly disappear after the deadline.
8. After the promotion, I can return to the regular price without teaching my audience to simply wait for the next discount.

And New Year is still ahead

In a few weeks, there will be another natural reason for a special offer: New Year bundles, gift certificates, service packages, seasonal products and limited-time terms.

So instead of simply planning another discount, you can review your product, offer, content and customer journey now and build the next promotion deliberately.

Sometimes growth requires improving just one element, such as rebuilding the offer, changing the content or removing leaks on the path to payment.

If several weak points exist at once, a single tool will only create a local improvement because the next weak element will start limiting the result again.

You still have time to prepare your marketing before the New Year season and run the next sale with a clear system instead of relying on luck.

Research and data

  1. SuperJob, 2025 – Russian attitudes toward Black Friday and trust in advertised discounts.
  2. Boston Consulting Group, Black Friday Consumer Study 2026 – international research on promotion trust, shopper behavior and promotion fatigue.
  3. DHL E-Commerce Trends Report 2025 – global data on shopping behavior during Black Friday and Cyber Monday.
  4. Information Systems Research, 2018, “When Discounts Hurt Sales: The Case of Daily-Deal Markets” – analysis of nearly 20,000 Groupon deals.
  5. Journal of Retailing, 2022 – research on how discount depth affects perceived quality.
Made on
Tilda